NBA AI Picks and Predictions, Graded in Public

SharpCapper prices every NBA game against live sportsbook odds from real US books, and every pick we have ever published names the exact side, the exact number and the price we posted it at, graded in public afterwards, wins and losses alike. NBA publishing is currently on hold. We tested the model against five seasons of real closing prices and it did not beat the market in any market we could bet, so rather than post picks to look busy we score the games, keep the record, and publish nothing until a lane earns it.

Availability is the NBA edge nobody can fully price in the morning. A star ruled out on the afternoon injury report moves a total further than most news moves a spread, and load management means a healthy player can still be sitting. We publish early, before those reports, because opening numbers are softer than closing ones, and we accept the honest cost of that: the price we took is the price the record judges us on.

We also grade the exact number we published. A total of 224.5 and a total of 225 are different bets, and a pick that lands on the number is a push rather than a quiet win. Our record shows pushes and voids as what they are instead of folding them into a friendlier win rate.