NFL Prediction · 2026-11-02 · 8:20 PM ET
Chicago Bears vs Seattle Seahawks: Prediction, Odds & Best Bet
SharpCapper's models evaluated Chicago Bears @ Seattle Seahawks (NFL) using live odds, injuries, and prediction-market pricing, selecting Under 46.5 at -110 (MEDIUM risk). The model estimates a 57.6% win probability.
The Pick
- Best bet: Under 46.5 (-110)
- Strength: small stake · MEDIUM risk
- Win probability: 57.6%
- Recommended stake: 0.5u
- Status: pending, graded publicly
The Edge
We make this side 57.6% to win off our score model (confirmed at the live best price). At -110 the price only pays as if it were 52.4%. That gap is our own model's number, and its record in this market does not back it: over 1,406 past games the side it preferred won 49.1% of the time. So we publish this as a lean and stake it small.
Key Factors
- Chicago Bears: 1 game back in National Football Conference; ESPN standings seed 6. Seattle Seahawks: 2 games back in National Football Conference; ESPN standings seed 8.
- We project about 43.8 combined points against the 46.5 line
- Our scoring ratings put Seahawks 16% below league average for points allowed
- Our scoring ratings put Bears 5% below league average for points allowed
- Our number makes this side 57.6% to win, the live best price pays as if it were 52.4%
- ESPN FPI makes the Seahawks the favorite by 1.8
- Bears' games have averaged 46.1 combined points this season and Seahawks' 41.9, against the 46.5 line
Learn the strategy
AI-generated analysis for informational purposes only, not betting advice. 21+ · 1-800-GAMBLER.